How did Vajpayee know NDA would lose in 2004?

According to the book, the Bharatiya Janata Party, taking lessons from its experiences over time, took on a numerical and geographical form and in the 75th year of independence, it has become the pivot of national politics

A published book on the journey of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) from Jana Sangh now claims that former Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee sensed the defeat of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) even before the results of the 2004 Lok Sabha elections. And he had asked strong leader Pramod Mahajan to make preparations to sit in the opposition by tying a sack of bed.

A recently published Hindi edition of the book “BJP Ka Abhyudaya”, jointly authored by Union Minister Bhupendra Yadav and economist Ila Patnaik, has also claimed that the lack of communication between the organization and the government cost the BJP in the 2004 elections. Taking a lesson from this, he focused on better coordination between the government and the organization after coming to power in 2014 and then formed a government of absolute majority in the 2019 elections.

According to the book, the BJP acquired numerical and geographical form over time, learning from its experiences and in the 75th year of independence, it has become the pivot of national politics.

The book’s epilogue reads, “…the BJP is no longer the party that has been isolated in Indian politics. Moving forward, the BJP’s dedicated and disciplined cadre, its non-dynastic leadership, the party’s internal democracy, its tireless activism, and training and admission of new members every three years have given it an edge over other political parties in the country.
The book has a separate chapter on the defeat of the Vajpayee-led NDA in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections. It gives detailed information about the reasons for the defeat.

According to the book, BJP’s election slogans like “India Shining” and “Feel Good” and Congress’s “Aam Aadmi Ko Found?” Feeling good for you guys” message got overwhelming.

According to the book, the BJP was confident of its victory and a day before the election results, Pramod Mahajan took a map of India in front of Vajpayee to explain how the BJP was going to win more seats than in the 1999 elections.
To this, Vajpayee had asked him to “tie up the sack and prepare to sit in the opposition”.

It is to be known that between 1999 and 2004, under Vajpayee’s leadership, the BJP ran the first non-Congress government, which completed its term.

After this, analyzing the defeat of the coalition in the 2004 elections, the book wrote, “The communication gap between the BJP organization and the government was costly. During this period, there were regular changes in the post of president in the party, but it did not send a good message to the organization. Therefore, despite the organizational capability, the party could not take the work of the government to the people in a positive way.

One of the reasons cited for this defeat is that the party paid more attention to advertising but failed to connect with the people at the grassroots level and despite several reforms, the BJP could not reach them effectively.
The book’s chapter “Samanjasya: Sangathan and Sarkar” mentions that during Vajpayee’s tenure from 1999 to 2014, “unfortunately” the link between the organization and the government was missing.

It said, “When the party came to power again in 2014, the BJP actively worked on the organizational front to coordinate its activities and its campaigns.

The book describes in detail how the BJP organization played an effective role in executing the decisions of the government and after 2014 the party and the government worked together.

It has been told in the book that it was the result of the government’s achievements and its coordination with the organization to bring them to the ground that where the BJP got 31 percent votes in 2014, it increased to 37.4 percent in 2019. Not only this, the vote share of the BJP, which has been accused of being a party of urban India for a long time, increased by 7.3 percent in 2019 in comparison to 2014 in rural areas.

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